FED RATE CUT 65c/TRUMP WIN 2028 42c/BTC >100K EOY 38c/RECESSION 2026 27c/AI REGULATION EU 71c/ETH >5K 22c/
FED RATE CUT 65c/TRUMP WIN 2028 42c/BTC >100K EOY 38c/RECESSION 2026 27c/AI REGULATION EU 71c/ETH >5K 22c/

Read the news
before the market does

Polytheta deploys multiple AI agents to deep-scan X, news outlets, Reddit, and every relevant source — then runs mathematical models to estimate real probabilities. Open any Polymarket page, click a bookmark, and get the full picture.

polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-july-2026
P
Polymarket
EconomicsFed

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in July 2026?

65c
+4.2% today
1H1D1W1MALL
Buy Yes65c
Buy No35c
Vol $2.4MLiq $340KTraders 1,847Ends Jul 31
X, News, Reddit
Agents scan
50+
Sources per scan
Bayesian
Probability model
Claude AI
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Agents that do the
research for you

Multiple AI agents work in parallel — scanning, reasoning, and running probability math across every source that matters.

Core

Multi-Agent Deep Research

Dedicated agents scan X, news wires, Reddit, and forums in parallel — not a single API call, a full research pipeline.

AI

Claude-Powered Reasoning

Built on Claude via OpenRouter. Each agent reasons about context, not just keyword matching.

Math

Mathematical Probability Models

Bayesian inference combines signals from all agents to estimate a fair probability, not just a gut-feel score.

Data

Every Source That Matters

Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, X/Twitter, Reddit threads, niche forums — agents find what's relevant, not just what's trending.

UX

One-Click Bookmarklet

No extension to install. Drag a bookmark, click it on any Polymarket page, and the agent panel loads instantly.

Trust

Full Research Reports

Not just a buy/sell signal — you get the sources, the reasoning chain, and the model inputs so you can verify the logic yourself.

How it works

Three steps to
your edge

01

Drag

Drag the Polytheta bookmarklet into your browser's bookmarks bar. One drag, done.

02

Browse

Open any market on Polymarket. Polytheta works on every event page — no setup per market.

03

Click

Click the bookmark. Multiple agents deploy — scanning X, news, Reddit — then a probability model delivers the full analysis.

Preview

Full analysis,
right on the page

polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-july-2026
Economics / Monetary Policy

Will the Fed cut rates in July 2026?

Yes65c
No35c
VOL $2.4MLIQ $340K24H +4.2%
Polytheta Analysis
Reuters — Fed officials signal openness to rate cuts amid cooling inflation. Core PCE fell to 2.1%, below consensus.
+12%
Fair: 77c
Conf: HIGH
Pricing

Pay for what
you use

All paid plans run through OpenRouter. We charge a 25% markup on top of your API credits — that's it. No hidden fees.

Free
$0
 

Try it out — no card required.

  • 50 market scans
  • All agents (news, X, Reddit)
  • Probability model included
  • Bookmarklet — no install
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You pay OpenRouter rates + 25% markup
  • Unlimited scans
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  • Full probability models
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Pro
$49
/month

Fixed price, no API key needed.

Includes $40 of OpenRouter credits + 25%
  • Everything in Pay-as-you-go
  • No API key required
  • Priority agent queue
  • Deeper research depth
  • More sources per scan
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The market is
already moving

Every minute without Polytheta is a minute the market knows something you don't. Set up in 10 seconds — just drag a bookmark.

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